Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 75.259918 84.536722 94.050916 104.507177 115.645663 127.127412 139.828694
2025-01-05 62.195435 75.637390 90.055694 106.546288 124.764218 144.163262 166.270708
2025-01-12 52.564786 68.062099 85.268027 105.530886 128.497006 153.496305 182.547377
2025-01-19 44.299054 60.935590 80.016244 103.090698 129.837873 159.504725 194.544634
2025-01-26 40.927307 59.054226 80.373981 106.673769 137.663609 172.499682 214.115744
2025-02-02 37.628876 56.872230 80.054481 109.183803 144.022098 183.654398 231.475401
2025-02-09 33.100257 52.722925 77.000415 108.119386 145.926942 189.473515 242.557795
2025-02-16 29.167808 48.983887 74.155168 107.042881 147.594018 194.838515 252.970011
2025-02-23 26.554751 46.764409 73.038327 107.934492 151.499898 202.739779 266.270118
2025-03-02 23.842517 44.170872 71.249711 107.822925 154.054614 208.943092 277.507306
2025-03-09 21.716191 42.221143 70.163486 108.484531 157.469811 216.112308 289.846642
2025-03-16 19.154548 39.410708 67.745923 107.278252 158.438054 220.239596 298.495726
2025-03-23 17.693548 38.168290 67.430073 108.819084 162.902921 228.696994 312.462213
2025-03-30 16.495550 37.234784 67.479576 110.803925 167.917651 237.838306 327.290334
2025-04-06 14.526568 34.879494 65.372751 109.780068 168.987479 242.055751 336.108111
2025-04-13 12.361474 31.967948 62.286682 107.277466 168.025918 243.663145 341.675197
2025-04-20 11.983937 32.106182 63.684907 110.948691 175.129883 255.356909 359.624080
2025-04-27 11.363965 31.752817 64.308594 113.519464 180.780531 265.235160 375.364278
2025-05-04 9.947035 29.794181 62.385717 112.429341 181.527385 268.893380 383.406957
2025-05-11 8.667471 27.940564 60.515849 111.326726 182.190775 272.398912 391.228636
2025-05-18 7.909880 27.029828 60.076873 112.239968 185.535711 279.307778 403.285167
2025-05-25 7.024864 25.747792 58.968569 112.125699 187.452973 284.367557 413.024360
2025-06-01 6.356832 24.844329 58.425530 112.803317 190.424907 290.772911 424.451562